Our publication (with colleague Dr Olly Owen) in the July edition of the journal, African Affairs is out. We wrote a brief on the Nigerian presidential election in March 2015, assessing why the election was exceptional in many respects, why many previous predictions including ours of a runoff or an outright Jonathan/PDP victory did not come to pass, and why and how Goodluck Jonathan and the Peoples’ Democratic Party (PDP) lost the elections.
I spoke to Aljazeera English on water and other infrastructure deficits in Nigeria, and how to what extent these feature in the campaigns in the run up to the presidential elections. This was on 22 March 2015.
I have said it many times, Nigeria and Nigerians are in many ways similar to the United States and Americans. The country’s size, the regional presence, the diversity, the assertiveness and entrepreneurial spirit of Nigerians, the economic and regional inequalities etc. That is probably why in 1979, the country decided to Read More »
I have been invited by the Royal African Society to participate in a panel discussing the forthcoming general elections in Nigeria, and the underlying political, economic, social and global issues around it.
Earlier today, I was invited to the BBC Headquarters in London, for a brief chat on the recent attacks and massacres in Baga by Boko Haram in Nigeria, and the government’s response to it. It was aired live on Focus on Africa from 17.30hrs GMT. Here is a video clip.
I will be participating in a panel, at an event organised by the Royal Institute of International Affairs, aka Chatham House. The title is: Elections, Boko Haram and Security: Assessing and Addressing Nigeria’s Complex Challenges. It is taking place at Chatham House offices in London, on 9 December 2014, from 9.30 am to 12 noon GMT.
I will be speaking on the political landscape, the context, the key actors and forecasts of the possible outcomes of the 2015 elections in Nigeria. This will be largely based on the ongoing elections forecasts by my colleague, Olly Owen and I.
The event will be live streamed, and will be made available from 9:30 on the Chatham House website.
For months, my colleague, Dr. Oliver Owen and I have been working on some forecasting of Nigeria 2015 elections based on 2011 dynamics. The draft findings were recently posted on African Arguments HERE. I am re-posting it below.
We welcome all comments, suggestions, critiques etc as we continue to refine our understanding of this rapidly changing and complex situation.